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“The Agreement of the Century”

By Paul Larudee | Dissident Voice | October 18, 2017

According to a report circulating unofficially in Arabic, the latest in a sixty-nine year history of proposals to resolve the western Zionist invasion of Palestine (AKA the Israeli-Palestinian “conflict”) is about to see the light of day. It claims Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu originated the proposal and that secret deliberations have been underway for more than five months.

Netanyahu has now presented the proposal to the US, which made some changes and agreed to promote it. Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas will carry the plan, called “the Agreement of the Century” to Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait for review and discussion.

The provisions

The proposal has 21 points, but the main provisions are that the West Bank will be federated (or re-federated) with Jordan, and the Gaza Strip with Egypt. Together, they will be known as the Palestinian Confederation, ostensibly converting the Palestinian “Authority” into a national government, although it is already widely recognized as such and although it will not have any of the authority or sovereignty that nation states are deemed to have under international law.

Israel will govern Jewish settlements directly and Jerusalem is excluded from the proposal, for resolution at a later time. The primary function of Jordan, Egypt and the Palestinian Authority, therefore, will be to take over the security functions currently administered by the Israeli armed forces; i.e., to protect Israel and repress Palestinians. As they say in Israel, “When you have a dirty job, give it to an Arab.”

Other provisions concern development of infrastructure, international guarantees, and conversion of Hamas into a purely political party while integrating its military wing into the Palestinian security forces. The borders will be based on the armistice lines as of June 4th, 1967, with some territorial swaps. Refugees will be permitted to “return” to the West Bank and Gaza, even if it is not the home from which they were displaced. This is not going to be accepted by expatriate refugees in Lebanon, Syria and other countries, but they have always been disenfranchised in all proposals, and this one is no exception.

Unanswered questions

The biggest unanswered question is the status of Jerusalem. Will the Arab leaders accept an agreement that has no assurances at all with respect to Jerusalem? This is hard to imagine, and it was, in fact, the major stumbling block to an agreement at the Camp David Summit in 2000.

Another major unknown is what happens to the West Bank areas designated A, B and C in the Oslo agreement. Area A is the only one of the three where Oslo grants full administrative and security control to the Palestinian Authority, and it comprises less than 15% of the total area of the West Bank, itself only 18% of historic Palestine. Israel is unlikely to hand B and C over to Palestinian authority and limit the settlements to their current footprints, without prospect of outward expansion or new settlements. More likely, they will insist upon continuing the current arrangement, allowing Israel to continue expanding the settlements indefinitely. This is also unlikely to be acceptable to the Arabs and to the Palestinian people.

Analysis

What do the parties to the agreement expect to gain from it?

Israel wants to rid itself of the Palestinians. It wants the land but not the people. It also wants to stop being considered an occupier of someone else’s land. In 1948 it achieved this by massive ethnic cleansing and genocide. In 1967 it used the same methods but was somewhat less successful except on the Golan Heights, where it expelled 94% of the population. Since then, expulsions have been gradual and slower, except for the 2006 expulsion of a million people in south Lebanon, which was subsequently reversed by the victory of the Hezbollah resistance.

If the above assumptions about areas A, B and C are correct, a signed agreement means that Israel concedes nothing at all and will be able to continue with its territorial ambitions. However, it will rid itself of the Palestinians by farming out the occupation to Jordan, Egypt and the Palestinian Authority. The agreement also removes the teeth (such as they are) of Hamas, and makes Israel appear to be a “peacemaker” with a “generous proposal”.

Mahmoud Abbas’s interest is to become the president of a “real” (though not sovereign) country, recognized universally, even by Israel. He also gets Gaza in the bargain, as well as some handsome development funds that will improve the economy, at least in the short run. The recently announced “unity government” between Hamas and Fatah can be seen as a prelude to such an agreement, and a means of strengthening Abbas’s hand in the negotiations (which is why Israel is not very happy about it).

Hamas gains the least of any of the parties, but Israel’s decade-long siege on Gaza is now so debilitating that they are possibly loathe to dash the hopes of their people for relieving their isolation. They are under tremendous pressure to improve the intolerable living conditions, and may not wish to be seen as spoilers.

The Arab monarchies and Egypt want to be rid of the problem and to get on with other concerns, chiefly their rivalry and potential conflict with Iran. In this case they would like to be able to collaborate and ally themselves more openly with a powerful Israel, which the agreement will legitimate. Iraq and Syria, who are friendly to Iran, are not currently on Abbas’s itinerary, which underscores that their views are not likely to be given consideration.

The US also gets a Middle East peace agreement that has eluded eleven administrations since 1948, and which Trump desperately needs to bolster his flagging image on the domestic front. The agreement would also strengthen the hand of both the US and Israel to undertake aggressive action against Iran and destroy it as a regional power, which is an ambition of both countries and the conservative Arab regimes.

All of this assumes that the agreement will be approved. That is still a very big “if”. But Israel is also prepared for failure, which also works to their advantage. In that case Israel will do what it has always done: blame the Palestinians for refusing to be complicit in their own demise. They will then give their military a free hand to commit another pogrom, known in Israel as “mowing the grass”.

In fact, Israel may pull another plan off the shelf, one using a more direct means of ridding themselves of the Palestinians. They learned in Lebanon that they could create a million refugees in ten days, and thereby clear the land of its inhabitants. Instead of “mowing the grass”, this would be more akin to “scorching the earth”, which is also a definition of the term “holocaust”.

Paul Larudee is one of the founders of the Free Gaza and Free Palestine Movements and an organizer in the International Solidarity Movement.

October 19, 2017 - Posted by | Ethnic Cleansing, Racism, Zionism, Illegal Occupation | , , , , , , , ,

11 Comments »

  1. Israel wants to rid itself of the Palestinians. It wants the land but not the people.

    That pretty well sums it up.

    Comment by traducteur | October 19, 2017 | Reply

  2. Mr. Larudee
    Your mistakes and your malicious intentions are shouting from your analysis. You forgot one thing which is the offers that Israeli prime ministers, Olmert and Barak offered to your favorites. They/he Arafat rejected all of them. This is the answer to your analysis. Let the Arabs get Israeli offers and everything will come right. there is no point to sit to the table knowing that you behave the typical oriental way: whatever Israel will, offer you will reject in order to get more. Even if Israel will agree to give you 100% of the land of Israel you will ask for more. So, instead of blaming Israel, look at your beloved friends and tell them that the refugees suffered enough and it is the time that also the leaders, that have a lot of money stolen from their people must sit and solve the conflict once forever.

    Comment by seelistenunderstand | October 19, 2017 | Reply

    • the refugees have suffered enough

      Very true. What about allowing them to return to their homeland, Palestine?

      Comment by traducteur | October 19, 2017 | Reply

      • Good, concise reply, traducteur. But I caution care. We seem to have a new Zionist troll in our midst; he will suck our oxygen via endless back-and-forth wastes of time, and use for his and his demented colonial ideology’s purposes the Zioclassic tactics of diversion, manipulation, control et al if we let him. I’ve read and smelled his rot in two other postings this morning, here at Aletho News and at another valued pro-Palestine site. Better read him, find comic relief in his (poor-English) hasbara, give him freedom of expression, clear the nasal passageways, and resist any impulse to react.

        Palestine, historic Palestine, is Still THE Issue!!

        Comment by roberthstiver | October 19, 2017 | Reply

      • Shalom Traducteur
        Sure. this is the purpose of Palestine. To settle the Palestinians there. The problem is that the Palestinians themselves don’t agree with it. They want the refugees to return/settle in Israel too. This means that they will have 150% of the area. No, this we will never agree.
        I hope that I answered your question.
        have a nice weekend
        In friendship
        Amir

        Comment by seelistenunderstand | October 20, 2017 | Reply

    • Amir, why do you comment on this–and other–blogs but not allow any comments on your own?

      And do you think Israel will try and pull off another 9/11 False Flag anytime soon?

      http://www.911history.de/aaannxyz_ch11_en.html

      Comment by Greg Bacon | October 19, 2017 | Reply

      • Shalom Greg. The simple reason is that I don’t have a blog as in order to get to many people I/we must approach them. I am not sure how long it would take me to get so many readers as I currently have. People are lazy and they don’t look for new boring blogs. This way I bring the water to the horse and give him the chance to read. If he likes what I write-he will read more. If not-I lose.
        Hard question. The only thing I can assure you is that all the accusations against Israel like apartheid, killing/not behaving in the right way to the Muslims are false charges. These are unbeatable facts. Israel is the purest state in the region and in the world. Our arms and soldiers are pure and all allegations are fake.
        Thank you for giving me the chance to answer you.
        Have a nice weekend
        In friendship
        Amir

        Comment by seelistenunderstand | October 20, 2017 | Reply

    • To put it bluntly Amir,

      Kuwaiti official orders Israel delegates to ‘get out’
      “If you don’t feel ashamed, then do as you please” Marzouq Al-Ghanim to the Israeli delegation.

      https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20171018-kuwaiti-official-orders-israel-delegates-to-get-out/
      Video

      Comment by Wallflower | October 19, 2017 | Reply

      • This is the big difference between you and us: we honor our opponent and are ready to listen to him, even if he is rude, but you don’t your aggressive behavior did not make you any good.

        Comment by seelistenunderstand | October 20, 2017 | Reply

  3. I know and respect Paul Larudee, but this report (of “unofficiality”) has a host of suspect points and leaves me with no optimism. (One reason for pessimism — aside from the very nature of the psychotic criminality of Zionism itself: the Saudi Peace Plan/Beirut Declaration, 2002, re-validated again and again.)

    Viva Palestine! I, too, am a Palestinian!

    Comment by roberthstiver | October 19, 2017 | Reply

    • Vive la Palestine, à bas le sionisme !

      Comment by traducteur | October 20, 2017 | Reply


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